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Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Matt Roy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Roy's 1.8.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Connor's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.2%, Luck Meter +36, Offensive-zone time 43.4%.

Roy's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 146, Hits 117.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorRoy
Goals (+2)1.020.05
Assists (+1)0.670.20
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.11
Hits (+0.1)0.050.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.171.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Connor vs Roy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ConnorRoy
9Team record in 15 meetings6
20Points in those games5

Connor 4G 16A, 45 SOG · Roy 0G 5A, 23 SOG

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other2

Connor blocked 1 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 2 of Connor's.

On the ice against each other (Connor's side)

13:58 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side

Shot attempts
19–10
65.5%
Expected goals
1.3–0.5
72.1%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Kyle Connor and Matt Roy
DateScoreConnorRoy
2025-12-13WPG 5–1 WSH0G 2A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-26WPG 3–4 WSH0G 3A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-25WPG 3–2 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2025-02-01WPG 5–4 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 3A 2S
2024-04-01WPG 4–3 LAK0G 3A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-10-17WPG 1–5 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-03-25WPG 1–4 LAK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-28WPG 5–6 LAK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-27WPG 6–4 LAK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-13WPG 3–2 LAK1G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-28WPG 3–2 LAK0G 3A 6S0G 0A 1S
2020-02-18WPG 6–3 LAK0G 1A 6S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorRoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Connor and Roy done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 9–6. Connor had 20 points (4 goals) and Roy had 5 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →