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Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Kyle ConnorKyle ConnorJets · Left wingvsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Connor's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1017, 20+ mph bursts 162, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.31.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 172, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, High-danger chances 54.8%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.22

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.950.56
Assists (+1)0.650.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.18
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Connor vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ConnorNugent-Hopkins
18Team record in 34 meetings16
28Points in those games32

Connor 14G 14A, 119 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 12G 20A, 97 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Connor's side)

15:06 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side

Shot attempts
8–15
34.8%
Expected goals
0.6–1.6
26.7%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between Kyle Connor and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreConnorNugent-Hopkins
2026-01-08WPG 3–4 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-29WPG 1–3 EDM0G 0A 9S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-06WPG 2–6 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-20WPG 4–3 EDM1G 0A 7S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-09WPG 6–0 EDM1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-26WPG 3–4 EDM0G 1A 3S1G 1A 5S
2023-11-30WPG 1–3 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-10-21WPG 3–2 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 4S
2023-03-04WPG 7–5 EDM0G 1A 4S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-03WPG 3–6 EDM0G 0A 1S2G 2A 5S
2022-12-31WPG 2–1 EDM1G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-19WPG 2–4 EDM1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 34 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Connor and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 34 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 18–16. Connor had 28 points (14 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 32 (12 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →