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Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Ryan O'Reilly

Kyle ConnorKyle ConnorJets · Left wingvsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Connor's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.2%, Ascension score 58, Hardest shot 90.9.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 739, Blocked shots 66, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorO'Reilly
Goals (+2)1.020.58
Assists (+1)0.670.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.20
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Connor vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ConnorO'Reilly
20Team record in 33 meetings13
41Points in those games20

Connor 18G 23A, 118 SOG · O'Reilly 8G 12A, 87 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Connor's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Connor's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)

1Shots blocked by the other1

Connor blocked 1 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Connor's.

On the ice against each other (Connor's side)

15:05 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side

Shot attempts
14–14
50.0%
Expected goals
1.2–0.6
65.8%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Kyle Connor and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreConnorO'Reilly
2026-03-17WPG 3–4 NSH0G 3A 7S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-29WPG 5–2 NSH1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-18WPG 4–1 NSH0G 1A 4S0G 1A 3S
2025-02-27WPG 1–2 NSH0G 0A 7S0G 1A 5S
2025-01-07WPG 5–2 NSH1G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-30WPG 3–0 NSH0G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-23WPG 1–4 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-04-09WPG 4–3 NSH1G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-13WPG 2–4 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-26WPG 2–3 NSH0G 1A 6S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-09WPG 6–3 NSH3G 1A 7S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-08WPG 5–2 STL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 33 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Connor and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 33 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 20–13. Connor had 41 points (18 goals) and O'Reilly had 20 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Connor or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Connor has won 1 and O'Reilly 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →