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Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Will Smith

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Smith's 1.9.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Connor's biggest edges: Shorthanded points 2, 20+ mph bursts 162, Hits 36.

Smith's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.05, Faceoffs won 15, Forecheck xG /60 0.28.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Will Smith

1.94

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorSmith
Goals (+2)1.020.90
Assists (+1)0.670.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.24
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.08

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Connor vs Smith

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ConnorSmith
2Team record in 5 meetings3
3Points in those games5

Connor 2G 1A, 25 SOG · Smith 3G 2A, 13 SOG

On the ice against each other (Connor's side)

11:01 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side

Shot attempts
7–12
36.8%
Expected goals
0.3–1.2
20.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Kyle Connor and Will Smith
DateScoreConnorSmith
2026-04-16WPG 1–6 SJS0G 0A 7S1G 1A 5S
2026-03-01WPG 1–2 SJS0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-11-07WPG 1–2 SJS0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-24WPG 2–1 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2024-12-17WPG 4–3 SJS2G 0A 9S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorSmith

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LW
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LW

Will Smith

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to C

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Will Smith?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Connor and Smith done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 2–3. Connor had 3 points (2 goals) and Smith had 5 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →