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Who to start · 2025-26

Lawson Crouse vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lawson Crouse's 1.65.

Crouse had 44 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week Crouse has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Crouse for 2.4 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Crouse's biggest edges: Hits 212, On-ice PDO 1019, Transition attempts /60 1.80.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Lawson Crouse

1.65

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCrouseCarlsson
Goals (+2)0.560.90
Assists (+1)0.290.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.26
Hits (+0.1)0.280.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.300.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Crouse vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CrouseCarlsson
3Team record in 8 meetings5
3Points in those games4

Crouse 3G 0A, 15 SOG · Carlsson 2G 2A, 17 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other1

Crouse's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–1 · Crouse's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

2Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other0

Crouse blocked 2 of Carlsson's shots; Carlsson blocked 0 of Crouse's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Crouse's side)

16:18 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Crouse's side

Shot attempts
15–11
57.7%
Expected goals
0.8–0.5
60.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Lawson Crouse and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreCrouseCarlsson
2026-03-20UTA 1–4 ANA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-03UTA 7–0 ANA1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-17UTA 2–3 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-12UTA 3–2 ANA0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-12-22UTA 4–5 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-16UTA 4–5 ANA0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2023-11-01ARI 3–4 ANA2G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2023-10-21ARI 2–1 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CrouseCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Lawson Crouse

3games (2 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Lawson Crouse or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lawson Crouse's 1.65. Crouse had 44 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Lawson Crouse or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Crouse and Carlsson done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Crouse's team went 3–5. Crouse had 3 points (3 goals) and Carlsson had 4 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Crouse or Carlsson?
Against each other, Crouse has won 2 and Carlsson 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →