Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Lawson Crouse vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Lawson Crouse projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Crouse had 44 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Crouse has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Crouse for 2.4 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Lawson Crouse has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Crouse's biggest edges: Plus/minus +20, Penalty minutes 46, Top skating speed 22.8.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Power-play points 15, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Lawson Crouse

1.65

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Lawson Crouse has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCrouseToffoli
Goals (+2)0.560.45
Assists (+1)0.290.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.21
Hits (+0.1)0.280.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.300.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Crouse vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CrouseToffoli
10Team record in 19 meetings9
8Points in those games13

Crouse 5G 3A, 30 SOG · Toffoli 6G 7A, 73 SOG

3Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Crouse blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Crouse's.

On the ice against each other (Crouse's side)

10:15 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Crouse's side

Shot attempts
8–11
42.1%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
74.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Lawson Crouse and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreCrouseToffoli
2025-12-01UTA 3–6 SJS2G 0A 2S2G 2A 5S
2025-11-18UTA 2–3 SJS0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-17UTA 6–3 SJS0G 1A 4S1G 0A 4S
2025-01-10UTA 2–1 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-14UTA 4–3 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-28UTA 4–5 SJS0G 0A 2S1G 1A 8S
2023-10-13ARI 4–3 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2023-03-14ARI 4–3 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-22ARI 3–6 CGY0G 0A 2S1G 1A 6S
2022-12-05ARI 2–3 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-03-25ARI 2–4 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2020-03-04ARI 4–2 VAN1G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CrouseToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Lawson Crouse

3games (2 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Lawson Crouse or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Lawson Crouse projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Crouse had 44 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Lawson Crouse or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Lawson Crouse leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Crouse and Toffoli done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Crouse's team went 10–9. Crouse had 8 points (5 goals) and Toffoli had 13 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →