Who to start · 2025-26
Leo Carlsson vs Matt Boldy
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.
Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games.
This week Carlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Boldy has 1 left. We project Boldy for 1.8 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
Matt Boldy has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 65.8%, 20+ mph bursts 197, Faceoffs won 433.
Boldy's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1031, Hardest shot 93.6, Hits 60.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Matt Boldy
2.55
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlsson | Boldy |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 1.04 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Boldy
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlsson 0G 1A, 16 SOG · Boldy 2G 4A, 19 SOG
Carlsson's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–2 · Carlsson's defensive zone 1–0 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
Carlsson blocked 1 of Boldy's shots; Boldy blocked 0 of Carlsson's.
On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)
12:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–15
- 46.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.5
- 41.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlsson | Boldy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | ANA 2–5 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-15 | ANA 0–2 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-04-15 | ANA 2–3 MIN | 0G 1A 8S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-08 | ANA 2–5 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-19 | ANA 0–4 MIN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2024-01-27 | ANA 3–2 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 6S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Matt Boldy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Leo Carlsson or Matt Boldy in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Matt Boldy?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlsson and Boldy done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 1–5. Carlsson had 1 points (0 goals) and Boldy had 6 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or Boldy?
- Against each other, Carlsson has won 1 and Boldy 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →