Who to start · 2025-26
Leo Carlsson vs Nick Schmaltz
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Schmaltz's 2.05.
Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Schmaltz had 74 in 82 games.
This week Carlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Schmaltz has 2 left. We project Schmaltz for 3.1 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
Nick Schmaltz has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, Penalty minutes 33, Transition attempts /60 1.08.
Schmaltz's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.052, On-ice PDO 1007, Blocked shots 52.
Head to head on the dot, Schmaltz leads Carlsson 10–7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Nick Schmaltz
2.05
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlsson | Schmaltz |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Schmaltz
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlsson 2G 2A, 17 SOG · Schmaltz 0G 7A, 30 SOG
Carlsson's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 3–4 · Carlsson's defensive zone 3–3 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)
13:20 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–14
- 44.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.9
- 27.5%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlsson | Schmaltz |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | ANA 4–1 UTA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-03 | ANA 0–7 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-11-17 | ANA 3–2 UTA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-12 | ANA 2–3 UTA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-22 | ANA 5–4 UTA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-10-16 | ANA 5–4 UTA | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2023-11-01 | ANA 4–3 ARI | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-10-21 | ANA 1–2 ARI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Nick Schmaltz
3games (2 left)
3.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.7 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 ptsOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Leo Carlsson or Nick Schmaltz in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Schmaltz's 2.05. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Schmaltz had 74 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Nick Schmaltz?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Schmaltz leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlsson and Schmaltz done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 5–3. Carlsson had 4 points (2 goals) and Schmaltz had 7 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or Schmaltz?
- Against each other, Carlsson has won 7 and Schmaltz 10 of their 17 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →