Who to start · 2025-26
Leo Carlsson vs Nick Suzuki
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.
Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games.
This week Carlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Suzuki has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Suzuki for 1.7 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
Nick Suzuki has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, Goals above expected +1.4, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29.
Suzuki's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1045, Blocked shots 62, Hits 62.
Head to head on the dot, Suzuki leads Carlsson 7–3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Nick Suzuki
2.43
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nick Suzuki has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlsson | Suzuki |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.66 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.82 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Suzuki
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlsson 3G 5A, 15 SOG · Suzuki 4G 4A, 13 SOG
Carlsson's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 2–5 · Carlsson's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)
11:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 24–7
- 77.4%
- Expected goals
- 1.7–0.3
- 84.3%
- Goals
- 3–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlsson | Suzuki |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | ANA 4–3 MTL | 2G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2026-03-06 | ANA 6–5 MTL | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-02 | ANA 3–2 MTL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-13 | ANA 0–5 MTL | 0G 0A 3S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2023-11-22 | ANA 3–4 MTL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Nick Suzuki
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.7 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Leo Carlsson or Nick Suzuki in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Nick Suzuki?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Suzuki leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlsson and Suzuki done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 3–2. Carlsson had 8 points (3 goals) and Suzuki had 8 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or Suzuki?
- Against each other, Carlsson has won 3 and Suzuki 7 of their 10 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →