Who to start · 2025-26
Leo Carlsson vs Pavel Dorofeyev
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90.
Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.
This week Carlsson has 1 game left; Dorofeyev has 1 left. We project Carlsson for 2.1 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.7.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 433, 20+ mph bursts 197, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29.
Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.034, Hardest shot 93.3, Transition attempts /60 1.65.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Pavel Dorofeyev
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlsson | Dorofeyev |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.86 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Dorofeyev
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlsson 3G 5A, 24 SOG · Dorofeyev 8G 2A, 33 SOG
On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)
29:57 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 29–20
- 59.2%
- Expected goals
- 1.5–1.4
- 50.9%
- Goals
- 2–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlsson | Dorofeyev |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 · PO | ANA 1–5 VGK | 0G 1A 0S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2026-05-12 · PO | ANA 2–3 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2026-05-10 · PO | ANA 4–3 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2026-05-08 · PO | ANA 2–6 VGK | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-05-06 · PO | ANA 3–1 VGK | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-05-04 · PO | ANA 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-11-22 | ANA 4–3 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | ANA 4–3 VGK | 2G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-23 | ANA 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-13 | ANA 2–3 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-13 | ANA 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-04-18 | ANA 4–1 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA2.1 pts
Pavel Dorofeyev
4games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.7 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Leo Carlsson or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Pavel Dorofeyev?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Carlsson and Dorofeyev done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 6–7. Carlsson had 8 points (3 goals) and Dorofeyev had 10 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →