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Who to start · 2025-26

Leo Carlsson vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.

Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Carlsson has 1 game left; Meier has 1 left. We project Meier for 2.0 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.1, Plus/minus +4, Luck Meter +10.

Meier's biggest edges: Hits 131, Transition attempts /60 2.14, Hardest shot 94.3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlssonMeier
Goals (+2)0.900.58
Assists (+1)0.570.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.35
Hits (+0.1)0.020.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlssonMeier
2Team record in 3 meetings1
1Points in those games3

Carlsson 0G 1A, 2 SOG · Meier 1G 2A, 10 SOG

On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)

1:47 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side

Shot attempts
4–1
80.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.1
76.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Leo Carlsson and Timo Meier
DateScoreCarlssonMeier
2025-11-02ANA 4–1 NJD0G 1A 0S0G 1A 7S
2024-12-31ANA 3–2 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2024-10-27ANA 2–6 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlssonMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Leo Carlsson or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlsson and Meier done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 2–1. Carlsson had 1 points (0 goals) and Meier had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →