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Who to start · 2025-26

Leo Carlsson vs Trevor Zegras

Leo CarlssonLeo CarlssonDucks · CentrevsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Carlsson has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, 20+ mph bursts 197.

Zegras's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1016, Transition attempts /60 1.69, Forecheck xG /60 0.30.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlssonZegras
Goals (+2)0.900.57
Assists (+1)0.570.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.19
Hits (+0.1)0.020.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlssonZegras
0Team record in 2 meetings2
1Points in those games2

Carlsson 1G 0A, 4 SOG · Zegras 2G 0A, 4 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other1

Carlsson's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Carlsson's defensive zone 1–1 (2025-26)

1Shots blocked by the other0

Carlsson blocked 1 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 0 of Carlsson's.

2Goals set up by the other1

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)

8:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side

Shot attempts
4–10
28.6%
Expected goals
0.1–0.8
15.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Leo Carlsson and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreCarlssonZegras
2026-03-18ANA 2–3 PHI1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-06ANA 2–5 PHI0G 0A 1S2G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlssonZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Leo Carlsson or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlsson and Zegras done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 0–2. Carlsson had 1 points (1 goals) and Zegras had 2 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or Zegras?
Against each other, Carlsson has won 1 and Zegras 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →