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Who to start · 2025-26

Leo Carlsson vs Tyler Bertuzzi

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52.

Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games.

This week Carlsson has 1 game left; Bertuzzi has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Bertuzzi's 1.6.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 23 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Carlsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 197, Fenwick 56.3%, Expected goals 55.4%.

Bertuzzi's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1020, Hits 55, Forecheck xG /60 0.29.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leo Carlsson

2.02

fantasy points per game

Tyler Bertuzzi

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlssonBertuzzi
Goals (+2)0.830.81
Assists (+1)0.540.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.21
Hits (+0.1)0.020.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Bertuzzi

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlssonBertuzzi
2Team record in 7 meetings5
6Points in those games4

Carlsson 5G 1A, 12 SOG · Bertuzzi 3G 1A, 14 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other2

Carlsson's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Carlsson's defensive zone 1–2 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

1Shots blocked by the other0

Carlsson blocked 1 of Bertuzzi's shots; Bertuzzi blocked 0 of Carlsson's.

On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)

11:48 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side

Shot attempts
14–11
56.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
47.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Leo Carlsson and Tyler Bertuzzi
DateScoreCarlssonBertuzzi
2025-12-07ANA 7–1 CHI2G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2025-11-30ANA 3–5 CHI0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2025-10-19ANA 1–2 CHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-01ANA 3–6 CHI2G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-19ANA 3–2 CHI1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-03ANA 2–4 CHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-17ANA 2–9 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlssonBertuzzi

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to C
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

Tyler Bertuzzi

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Leo Carlsson or Tyler Bertuzzi in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Tyler Bertuzzi?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 23 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlsson and Bertuzzi done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 2–5. Carlsson had 6 points (5 goals) and Bertuzzi had 4 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or Bertuzzi?
Against each other, Carlsson has won 2 and Bertuzzi 2 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →