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Who to start · 2025-26

Leo Carlsson vs Vincent Trocheck

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00.

Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games.

This week Carlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Trocheck has 2 left. We project Trocheck for 3.3 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Expected goals 55.4%, Sequence xG 55.3%, Fenwick 56.3%.

Trocheck's biggest edges: Hits 193, Draw Equity /100 +0.084, Faceoff win % 56.9%.

Head to head on the dot, Trocheck leads Carlsson 12–8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Vincent Trocheck

2.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlssonTrocheck
Goals (+2)0.900.45
Assists (+1)0.570.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.11
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.17
Hits (+0.1)0.020.31
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Trocheck

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlssonTrocheck
2Team record in 5 meetings3
8Points in those games1

Carlsson 1G 7A, 13 SOG · Trocheck 1G 0A, 9 SOG

8Faceoffs against each other12

Carlsson's offensive zone 3–4 · neutral 2–6 · Carlsson's defensive zone 3–2 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)

2:52 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side

Shot attempts
4–4
50.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.2
25.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Leo Carlsson and Vincent Trocheck
DateScoreCarlssonTrocheck
2025-12-15ANA 4–1 NYR0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-28ANA 5–4 NYR1G 3A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-26ANA 1–2 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-21ANA 2–5 NYR0G 2A 3S1G 0A 1S
2023-12-15ANA 1–5 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlssonTrocheck

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

Vincent Trocheck

3games (2 left)

3.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.8 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Leo Carlsson or Vincent Trocheck in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Vincent Trocheck?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlsson and Trocheck done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 2–3. Carlsson had 8 points (1 goals) and Trocheck had 1 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or Trocheck?
Against each other, Carlsson has won 8 and Trocheck 12 of their 20 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →