Who to start · 2025-26
Leo Carlsson vs Zach Werenski
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Zach Werenski projects to 2.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.
Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games.
This week Carlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Werenski has no games left. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Werenski's 0.0.
Zach Werenski has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 33, Ascension score 59, Fenwick 56.3%.
Werenski's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.01, Forecheck xG /60 0.30, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.055.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Zach Werenski
2.59
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Zach Werenski has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlsson | Werenski |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.52 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.81 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.73 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Werenski
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlsson 1G 1A, 7 SOG · Werenski 5G 4A, 25 SOG
On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)
12:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–15
- 31.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.7
- 38.1%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlsson | Werenski |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | ANA 4–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-12-16 | ANA 3–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2024-12-14 | ANA 4–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2024-11-10 | ANA 4–2 CBJ | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 8S |
| 2024-02-21 | ANA 4–7 CBJ | 0G 1A 0S | 2G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Zach Werenski
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sebastian Cossa (.944)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Leo Carlsson or Zach Werenski in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Zach Werenski projects to 2.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Zach Werenski?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Zach Werenski leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlsson and Werenski done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 3–2. Carlsson had 2 points (1 goals) and Werenski had 9 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →