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Who to start · 2025-26

Leon Draisaitl vs Noah Cates

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Draisaitl has 1 game left; Cates has 1 left. We project Draisaitl for 2.4 ESPN points to Cates's 1.2.

Leon Draisaitl has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Draisaitl's biggest edges: Ascension score 69, Faceoff win % 56.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.077.

Cates's biggest edges: Blocked shots 51, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, Hits 102.

Head to head on the dot, Draisaitl leads Cates 8–2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leon Draisaitl

2.96

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leon Draisaitl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDraisaitlCates
Goals (+2)1.190.39
Assists (+1)0.960.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.340.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.16
Hits (+0.1)0.050.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.100.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Draisaitl vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DraisaitlCates
2Team record in 6 meetings4
5Points in those games1

Draisaitl 2G 3A, 6 SOG · Cates 1G 0A, 7 SOG

8Faceoffs against each other2

Draisaitl's offensive zone 3–1 · neutral 4–1 · Draisaitl's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Draisaitl's side)

7:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Draisaitl's side

Shot attempts
2–8
20.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
33.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Leon Draisaitl and Noah Cates
DateScoreDraisaitlCates
2026-01-03EDM 2–5 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-12EDM 2–1 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-22EDM 3–6 PHI1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-19EDM 1–4 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-21EDM 4–2 PHI1G 2A 1S1G 0A 1S
2023-02-09EDM 1–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DraisaitlCates

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leon Draisaitl

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.4 pts

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Leon Draisaitl or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leon Draisaitl or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leon Draisaitl leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Draisaitl and Cates done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Draisaitl's team went 2–4. Draisaitl had 5 points (2 goals) and Cates had 1 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Draisaitl or Cates?
Against each other, Draisaitl has won 8 and Cates 2 of their 10 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →