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Who to start · 2025-26

Leon Draisaitl vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Draisaitl has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Draisaitl for 2.0 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Leon Draisaitl has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Draisaitl's biggest edges: Ascension score 69, Top skating speed 23.3, Plus/minus +13.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Blocked shots 31.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leon Draisaitl

2.96

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leon Draisaitl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDraisaitlToffoli
Goals (+2)1.190.45
Assists (+1)0.960.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.340.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.21
Hits (+0.1)0.050.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.100.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Draisaitl vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DraisaitlToffoli
22Team record in 36 meetings14
52Points in those games20

Draisaitl 18G 34A, 115 SOG · Toffoli 10G 10A, 85 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other3

Draisaitl's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 1–0 · Draisaitl's defensive zone 3–2 (2018-19 to 2023-24)

0Hits on each other4
2Shots blocked by the other1

Draisaitl blocked 2 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 1 of Draisaitl's.

On the ice against each other (Draisaitl's side)

10:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Draisaitl's side

Shot attempts
10–2
83.3%
Expected goals
0.4–0.0
90.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Leon Draisaitl and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreDraisaitlToffoli
2026-02-28EDM 4–5 SJS1G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-29EDM 4–3 SJS1G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-03EDM 3–2 SJS0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-12-21EDM 3–2 SJS1G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-26EDM 4–3 WPG1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-21EDM 6–3 NJD1G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2023-12-10EDM 4–1 NJD0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-27EDM 2–1 CGY0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-29EDM 3–2 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-15EDM 3–4 CGY0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-05-26 · POEDM 5–4 CGY0G 4A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-05-24 · POEDM 5–3 CGY0G 3A 1S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 36 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DraisaitlToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leon Draisaitl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Leon Draisaitl or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leon Draisaitl or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leon Draisaitl leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Draisaitl and Toffoli done against each other?
In 36 games against each other in our data, Draisaitl's team went 22–14. Draisaitl had 52 points (18 goals) and Toffoli had 20 (10 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Draisaitl or Toffoli?
Against each other, Draisaitl has won 4 and Toffoli 3 of their 7 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →