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Who to start · 2025-26

MacKenzie Weegar vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93.

Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Weegar has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 4.3 ESPN points to Weegar's 3.0.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 27 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Weegar's biggest edges: Blocked shots 175, Faceoffs won 0, Penalty minutes 88.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40, Plus/minus +6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

MacKenzie Weegar

1.96

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWeegarJarvis
Goals (+2)0.100.90
Assists (+1)0.300.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.32
Hits (+0.1)0.210.11
Blocks (+0.5)1.110.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Weegar vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WeegarJarvis
5Team record in 11 meetings6
4Points in those games5

Weegar 0G 4A, 22 SOG · Jarvis 4G 1A, 26 SOG

7Hits on each other2
5Shots blocked by the other0

Weegar blocked 5 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 0 of Weegar's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Weegar's side)

14:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Weegar's side

Shot attempts
9–16
36.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
28.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between MacKenzie Weegar and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreWeegarJarvis
2026-04-11UTA 1–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-30CGY 0–1 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-02CGY 1–2 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-24CGY 2–4 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-10CGY 2–7 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2023-12-07CGY 3–2 CAR0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-26CGY 2–3 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2022-10-22CGY 3–2 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-01-08FLA 4–3 CAR0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2022-02-16FLA 3–2 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-06FLA 5–2 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WeegarJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Seth Jarvis

3games (2 left)

4.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH2.0 pts
    vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start MacKenzie Weegar or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93. Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, MacKenzie Weegar or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 27 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Weegar and Jarvis done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Weegar's team went 5–6. Weegar had 4 points (0 goals) and Jarvis had 5 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →