Who to start · 2025-26
Mario Ferraro vs Matt Roy
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.
Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.
This week Ferraro has 1 game left; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Roy for 1.8 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.
Matt Roy has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.7, Luck Meter +50, Penalty minutes 35.
Roy's biggest edges: Fenwick 50.9%, Plus/minus +18, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Matt Roy
1.54
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mario Ferraro has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ferraro | Roy |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.29 | 0.05 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.95 | 1.02 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ferraro vs Roy
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ferraro 0G 1A, 20 SOG · Roy 1G 5A, 23 SOG
Ferraro blocked 5 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 0 of Ferraro's.
On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)
11:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ferraro's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–9
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.6
- 41.0%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ferraro | Roy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | SJS 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-03 | SJS 1–7 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2025-03-15 | SJS 1–5 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-03 | SJS 2–1 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-04 | SJS 1–2 LAK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-27 | SJS 1–5 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-19 | SJS 1–4 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-11 | SJS 3–4 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-25 | SJS 2–5 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-01-17 | SJS 6–2 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-04-02 | SJS 3–0 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-03-24 | SJS 4–2 LAK | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Matt Roy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mario Ferraro or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Matt Roy?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Roy leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ferraro and Roy done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 8–8. Ferraro had 1 points (0 goals) and Roy had 6 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →