Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mario Ferraro vs Matthew Schaefer

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games.

This week Ferraro has 1 game left; Schaefer has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schaefer for 2.4 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.

Matthew Schaefer has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Blocked shots 150, Hardest shot 95.6.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.7%, Power-play share 70.2%, Top skating speed 23.1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Schaefer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFerraroSchaefer
Goals (+2)0.290.53
Assists (+1)0.180.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.27
Hits (+0.1)0.160.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.950.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ferraro vs Schaefer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FerraroSchaefer
0Team record in 2 meetings2
1Points in those games3

Ferraro 0G 1A, 2 SOG · Schaefer 1G 2A, 7 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Ferraro blocked 1 of Schaefer's shots; Schaefer blocked 0 of Ferraro's.

On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)

11:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ferraro's side

Shot attempts
9–11
45.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
44.4%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Mario Ferraro and Matthew Schaefer
DateScoreFerraroSchaefer
2026-03-07SJS 1–2 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-21SJS 3–4 NYI0G 1A 0S1G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FerraroSchaefer

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Mario Ferraro or Matthew Schaefer in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Matthew Schaefer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Schaefer leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ferraro and Schaefer done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 0–2. Ferraro had 1 points (0 goals) and Schaefer had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →