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Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Boldy vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Boldy has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Boldy for 1.8 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Matt Boldy has the better number in 25 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Boldy's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, On-ice PDO 1031, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.38.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Offensive-zone start % 60.5%, Top skating speed 22.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Boldy

2.69

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBoldyNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)1.110.56
Assists (+1)0.570.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.18
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Boldy vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BoldyNugent-Hopkins
9Team record in 13 meetings4
16Points in those games13

Boldy 9G 7A, 38 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 4G 9A, 33 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other1

Boldy's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–1 · Boldy's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24 to 2024-25)

On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)

16:47 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Boldy's side

Shot attempts
14–19
42.4%
Expected goals
1.0–0.9
51.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Matt Boldy and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreBoldyNugent-Hopkins
2026-01-31MIN 7–3 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-12-20MIN 5–2 EDM2G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-02MIN 1–0 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-15MIN 3–5 EDM1G 1A 7S1G 1A 3S
2024-12-12MIN 1–7 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-21MIN 5–3 EDM1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-23MIN 4–2 EDM2G 0A 7S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-08MIN 3–4 EDM1G 1A 2S0G 4A 4S
2022-12-12MIN 2–1 EDM1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-09MIN 2–5 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 2A 2S
2022-12-01MIN 5–3 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-04-12MIN 5–1 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BoldyNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matt Boldy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Matt Boldy or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Boldy or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 25 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Boldy and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 9–4. Boldy had 16 points (9 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 13 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Boldy or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Boldy has won 1 and Nugent-Hopkins 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →