Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Boldy vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Boldy has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Boldy's 1.8.
Matt Boldy has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Boldy's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.56, Hardest shot 93.6, Hits 60.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Faceoff win % 55.1%, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Boldy
2.55
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Boldy | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Boldy vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Boldy 7G 5A, 62 SOG · O'Reilly 10G 12A, 53 SOG
Boldy's offensive zone 1–5 · neutral 0–0 · Boldy's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2026-27)
Boldy blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Boldy's.
On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)
20:54 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Boldy's side
- Shot attempts
- 23–20
- 53.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–1.3
- 39.9%
- Goals
- 1–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Boldy | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | MIN 3–1 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-04-11 | MIN 1–2 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-02-04 | MIN 6–5 NSH | 3G 1A 6S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2025-12-23 | MIN 2–3 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-04 | MIN 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-18 | MIN 2–6 NSH | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-31 | MIN 5–3 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-11-30 | MIN 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-10 | MIN 4–3 NSH | 1G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-29 | MIN 1–6 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-25 | MIN 2–3 NSH | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-11-30 | MIN 6–1 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Boldy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Boldy or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Boldy or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Boldy and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 10–11. Boldy had 12 points (7 goals) and O'Reilly had 22 (10 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Boldy or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Boldy has won 1 and O'Reilly 5 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →