Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Boldy vs Will Smith
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94.
Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.
This week Boldy has 1 game left; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Smith for 1.9 ESPN points to Boldy's 1.8.
Matt Boldy has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Boldy's biggest edges: Blocked shots 58, High-danger chances 51.5%, Hits 60.
Smith's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 68.9%, Forecheck xG /60 0.28, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.039.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Boldy
2.55
fantasy points per game
Will Smith
1.94
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Boldy | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.36 | 0.08 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Boldy vs Smith
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Boldy 4G 5A, 21 SOG · Smith 2G 3A, 7 SOG
On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)
17:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Boldy's side
- Shot attempts
- 26–14
- 65.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.6–0.5
- 76.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Boldy | Smith |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1–2 SJS | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5–6 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8–7 SJS | 0G 4A 4S | 1G 3A 3S |
| 2025-01-11 | MIN 3–1 SJS | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-07 | MIN 5–2 SJS | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Boldy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Will Smith
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.4 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Boldy or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Boldy or Will Smith?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Boldy and Smith done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 3–2. Boldy had 9 points (4 goals) and Smith had 5 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →