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Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Roy vs Mikko Rantanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Roy has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Roy for 1.8 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Roy's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18, Hits 117, Faceoffs won 0.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 93, Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Luck Meter +45.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRoyRantanen
Goals (+2)0.050.64
Assists (+1)0.200.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.21
Hits (+0.1)0.160.08
Blocks (+0.5)1.020.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Roy vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RoyRantanen
6Team record in 21 meetings15
1Points in those games28

Roy 0G 1A, 21 SOG · Rantanen 8G 20A, 59 SOG

2Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other1

Roy blocked 2 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 1 of Roy's.

On the ice against each other (Roy's side)

11:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Roy's side

Shot attempts
9–8
52.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.6
46.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Matt Roy and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreRoyRantanen
2026-01-07WSH 1–4 DAL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-28WSH 0–1 DAL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-21WSH 1–2 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-11-15WSH 5–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-26LAK 1–5 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-03LAK 4–1 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2023-10-11LAK 2–5 COL0G 0A 3S2G 2A 5S
2023-04-08LAK 3–4 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-09LAK 5–2 COL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2022-12-29LAK 5–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2022-04-13LAK 3–9 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2022-01-20LAK 1–4 COL0G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RoyRantanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Matt Roy or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Roy or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Roy and Rantanen done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Roy's team went 6–15. Roy had 1 points (0 goals) and Rantanen had 28 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →