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Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Roy vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week Roy has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Roy for 1.8 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

Pavel Dorofeyev has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Roy's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Hits 117, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.1%, Goals above expected +2.5, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.034.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Pavel Dorofeyev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRoyDorofeyev
Goals (+2)0.050.86
Assists (+1)0.200.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.30
Hits (+0.1)0.160.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.020.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Roy vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RoyDorofeyev
5Team record in 8 meetings3
2Points in those games3

Roy 0G 2A, 13 SOG · Dorofeyev 0G 3A, 18 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Roy's side)

13:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Roy's side

Shot attempts
12–7
63.2%
Expected goals
0.4–0.3
57.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Matt Roy and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreRoyDorofeyev
2026-03-28WSH 5–4 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2026-02-27WSH 3–2 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-17WSH 5–2 VGK0G 1A 0S0G 0A 5S
2023-12-28LAK 2–3 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-08LAK 4–1 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-28LAK 3–4 VGK0G 1A 5S0G 0A 4S
2023-04-06LAK 2–5 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-27LAK 4–2 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RoyDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Matt Roy or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Roy or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Dorofeyev leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Roy and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Roy's team went 5–3. Roy had 2 points (0 goals) and Dorofeyev had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →