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Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Roy vs Robert Thomas

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games.

This week Roy has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Thomas has 1 left. We project Thomas for 1.9 ESPN points to Roy's 1.8.

Robert Thomas has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Roy's biggest edges: Hits 117, Hardest shot 96.0, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18.

Thomas's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.3, Offensive-zone time 45.0%, Luck Meter +57.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Robert Thomas

1.89

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Robert Thomas has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRoyThomas
Goals (+2)0.050.73
Assists (+1)0.200.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.15
Hits (+0.1)0.160.01
Blocks (+0.5)1.020.29

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Roy vs Thomas

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RoyThomas
7Team record in 18 meetings11
5Points in those games11

Roy 0G 5A, 30 SOG · Thomas 2G 9A, 22 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Roy blocked 0 of Thomas's shots; Thomas blocked 1 of Roy's.

On the ice against each other (Roy's side)

7:18 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Roy's side

Shot attempts
5–15
25.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.6
36.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Matt Roy and Robert Thomas
DateScoreRoyThomas
2026-03-24WSH 0–3 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-05WSH 6–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-27WSH 2–5 STL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-13LAK 1–3 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-01-28LAK 3–4 STL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-11-18LAK 5–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-03-26LAK 7–6 STL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2023-03-04LAK 4–2 STL0G 1A 3S1G 0A 1S
2022-10-31LAK 5–1 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2021-11-03LAK 3–2 STL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2021-10-25LAK 0–3 STL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2021-10-23LAK 3–7 STL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RoyThomas

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Robert Thomas

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Likely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Matt Roy or Robert Thomas in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Roy or Robert Thomas?
On 2025-26 numbers, Robert Thomas leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Roy and Thomas done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Roy's team went 7–11. Roy had 5 points (0 goals) and Thomas had 11 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →