Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Roy vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.46.

Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Roy has no games left; Nugent-Hopkins has no games left.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Roy's biggest edges: Hits 117, Plus/minus +18, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.0%, Goals above expected +2.6, Power-play share 86.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Roy

1.46

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRoyNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.050.56
Assists (+1)0.220.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.18
Hits (+0.1)0.150.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.920.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Roy vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RoyNugent-Hopkins
13Team record in 36 meetings23
10Points in those games29

Roy 2G 8A, 47 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 11G 18A, 74 SOG

3Hits on each other6
4Shots blocked by the other1

Roy blocked 4 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Roy's.

On the ice against each other (Roy's side)

4:01 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Roy's side

Shot attempts
2–0
100.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Matt Roy and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreRoyNugent-Hopkins
2026-01-24WSH 5–6 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-02-23WSH 7–3 EDM0G 1A 1S1G 1A 1S
2025-01-21WSH 3–2 EDM1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-05-01 · POLAK 3–4 EDM0G 2A 1S0G 2A 1S
2024-04-28 · POLAK 0–1 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-26 · POLAK 1–6 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 3A 0S
2024-04-24 · POLAK 5–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-22 · POLAK 4–7 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-03-28LAK 1–4 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-26LAK 2–4 EDM0G 1A 0S1G 1A 2S
2024-02-10LAK 4–0 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-30LAK 2–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 36 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RoyNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matt Roy

2games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Philipp Grubauer (.909)

FAQ

Should I start Matt Roy or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.46. Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Roy or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Roy and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 36 games against each other in our data, Roy's team went 13–23. Roy had 10 points (2 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 29 (11 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →