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Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Roy vs Ryan O'Reilly

Matt RoyMatt RoyCapitals · DefencevsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Roy had 19 points in 79 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Roy has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project Roy for 2.9 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 1.7.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Roy's biggest edges: Hits 117, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18, Hardest shot 96.0.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Luck Meter +50, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRoyO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.050.58
Assists (+1)0.200.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.20
Hits (+0.1)0.160.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.020.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Roy vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RoyO'Reilly
10Team record in 21 meetings11
6Points in those games17

Roy 0G 6A, 37 SOG · O'Reilly 5G 12A, 42 SOG

2Hits on each other1
4Shots blocked by the other2

Roy blocked 4 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 2 of Roy's.

On the ice against each other (Roy's side)

9:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Roy's side

Shot attempts
5–4
55.6%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
80.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Matt Roy and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreRoyO'Reilly
2026-02-05WSH 4–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-01-11WSH 2–3 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-11WSH 4–1 NSH0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-06WSH 3–2 NSH0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-02-22LAK 1–4 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-31LAK 4–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-18LAK 1–2 NSH0G 0A 4S1G 1A 5S
2022-10-31LAK 5–1 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-25LAK 0–3 STL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2021-10-23LAK 3–7 STL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2021-03-17LAK 4–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-05-10LAK 1–2 STL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RoyO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matt Roy

2games

2.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 pts
    Schedule edge +12.4 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Matt Roy or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Roy had 19 points in 79 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Roy or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Roy and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Roy's team went 10–11. Roy had 6 points (0 goals) and O'Reilly had 17 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →