Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Roy vs Will Smith
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.46.
Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.
This week Roy has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Roy for 2.9 ESPN points to Smith's 1.9.
Will Smith has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Roy's biggest edges: Hits 117, Blocked shots 146, Faceoffs won 0.
Smith's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 68.9%, Offensive-zone time 44.3%, Goals above expected +2.1.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Roy
1.46
fantasy points per game
Will Smith
1.68
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Will Smith has the edge.
| Points per game from | Roy | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.05 | 0.70 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.92 | 0.09 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Roy vs Smith
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Roy 0G 3A, 7 SOG · Smith 0G 0A, 7 SOG
Roy blocked 1 of Smith's shots; Smith blocked 0 of Roy's.
On the ice against each other (Roy's side)
4:16 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Roy's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–1
- 88.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.0
- 99.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Roy | Smith |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | WSH 7–1 SJS | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-15 | WSH 5–1 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-03 | WSH 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Roy
2games
2.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR1.2 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to Dvs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Will Smith
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Roy or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.46. Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Roy or Will Smith?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Will Smith leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Roy and Smith done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Roy's team went 2–1. Roy had 3 points (0 goals) and Smith had 0 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →