Who to start · 2025-26
Matthew Knies vs Noah Cates
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.
Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.
This week Knies has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Cates for 1.5 ESPN points to Knies's 1.4.
Noah Cates has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Knies's biggest edges: Ascension score 56, 20+ mph bursts 97, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.20.
Cates's biggest edges: Plus/minus +26, Faceoffs won 467, Expected goals 53.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matthew Knies
2.06
fantasy points per game
Noah Cates
1.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.
| Points per game from | Knies | Cates |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.80 | 0.39 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.31 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Knies vs Cates
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Knies 3G 4A, 11 SOG · Cates 1G 4A, 16 SOG
Knies blocked 1 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 0 of Knies's.
On the ice against each other (Knies's side)
13:01 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Knies's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–8
- 68.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.2
- 72.3%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Knies | Cates |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | TOR 2–3 PHI | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2026-01-08 | TOR 2–1 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-01 | TOR 5–2 PHI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-03-25 | TOR 7–2 PHI | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-07 | TOR 3–2 PHI | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-05 | TOR 3–2 PHI | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-03-19 | TOR 3–4 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-14 | TOR 6–2 PHI | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-15 | TOR 4–3 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matthew Knies
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 10th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Noah Cates
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matthew Knies or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matthew Knies or Noah Cates?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Cates leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Knies and Cates done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Knies's team went 7–2. Knies had 7 points (3 goals) and Cates had 5 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →