Who to start · 2025-26
Matthew Knies vs Sam Reinhart
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Knies's 2.06.
Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games.
This week Knies has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Reinhart has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Reinhart for 2.5 ESPN points to Knies's 1.4.
Sam Reinhart has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Knies's biggest edges: Ascension score 56, Luck Meter +36, Goals above expected +0.3.
Reinhart's biggest edges: Scoring chances 52.3%, Corsi 50.9%, Fenwick 50.6%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matthew Knies
2.06
fantasy points per game
Sam Reinhart
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sam Reinhart has the edge.
| Points per game from | Knies | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Knies vs Reinhart
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Knies 6G 5A, 38 SOG · Reinhart 8G 9A, 54 SOG
On the ice against each other (Knies's side)
17:15 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Knies's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–11
- 64.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.5–0.3
- 83.3%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Knies | Reinhart |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | TOR 1–5 FLA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-06 | TOR 4–1 FLA | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-02 | TOR 4–1 FLA | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-18 · PO | TOR 1–6 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-16 · PO | TOR 2–0 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-14 · PO | TOR 1–6 FLA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2025-05-11 · PO | TOR 0–2 FLA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2025-05-09 · PO | TOR 4–5 FLA | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2025-05-07 · PO | TOR 4–3 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-05 · PO | TOR 5–4 FLA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-08 | TOR 1–3 FLA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-02 | TOR 3–2 FLA | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matthew Knies
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 10th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Sam Reinhart
3games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matthew Knies or Sam Reinhart in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Knies's 2.06. Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matthew Knies or Sam Reinhart?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sam Reinhart leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Knies and Reinhart done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Knies's team went 9–11. Knies had 11 points (6 goals) and Reinhart had 17 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →