Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Matthew Schaefer vs Nick Suzuki

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02.

Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games.

This week Schaefer has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Suzuki has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Schaefer for 2.4 ESPN points to Suzuki's 1.7.

Nick Suzuki has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.8, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.59, Ascension score 51.

Suzuki's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1045, Expected goals 54.1%, Fenwick 54.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Nick Suzuki

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nick Suzuki has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchaeferSuzuki
Goals (+2)0.530.66
Assists (+1)0.410.82
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.22
Hits (+0.1)0.050.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.670.39

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schaefer vs Suzuki

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchaeferSuzuki
1Team record in 3 meetings2
3Points in those games6

Schaefer 3G 0A, 10 SOG · Suzuki 1G 5A, 13 SOG

0Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other0

Schaefer blocked 1 of Suzuki's shots; Suzuki blocked 0 of Schaefer's.

On the ice against each other (Schaefer's side)

28:45 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Schaefer's side

Shot attempts
24–42
36.4%
Expected goals
0.8–1.5
35.1%
Goals
1–4

Games against each other

Games between Matthew Schaefer and Nick Suzuki
DateScoreSchaeferSuzuki
2026-04-12NYI 1–4 MTL0G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S
2026-03-21NYI 3–7 MTL1G 0A 3S0G 4A 3S
2026-02-26NYI 4–3 MTL2G 0A 3S0G 0A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchaeferSuzuki

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Nick Suzuki

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.7 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Cvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Matthew Schaefer or Nick Suzuki in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02. Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matthew Schaefer or Nick Suzuki?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Suzuki leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schaefer and Suzuki done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Schaefer's team went 1–2. Schaefer had 3 points (3 goals) and Suzuki had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →