Who to start · 2025-26
Matthew Schaefer vs Noah Cates
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.
Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.
This week Schaefer has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schaefer for 2.4 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.
Matthew Schaefer has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Schaefer's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 269, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.59, Ascension score 51.
Cates's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, Hits 102, Expected goals 53.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matthew Schaefer
2.02
fantasy points per game
Noah Cates
1.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matthew Schaefer has the edge.
| Points per game from | Schaefer | Cates |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.53 | 0.39 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.67 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Schaefer vs Cates
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Schaefer 1G 1A, 7 SOG · Cates 0G 1A, 8 SOG
Schaefer blocked 1 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 0 of Schaefer's.
On the ice against each other (Schaefer's side)
24:43 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Schaefer's side
- Shot attempts
- 23–13
- 63.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–1.0
- 25.6%
- Goals
- 0–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Schaefer | Cates |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | NYI 1–4 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-01-26 | NYI 4–0 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-28 | NYI 3–4 PHI | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-25 | NYI 3–4 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matthew Schaefer
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)
Noah Cates
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matthew Schaefer or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matthew Schaefer or Noah Cates?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Schaefer leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Schaefer and Cates done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Schaefer's team went 1–3. Schaefer had 2 points (1 goals) and Cates had 1 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →