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Who to start · 2025-26

Matthew Schaefer vs Wyatt Johnston

Matthew SchaeferMatthew SchaeferIslanders · DefencevsWyatt JohnstonWyatt JohnstonStars · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02.

Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.

This week Schaefer has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to Schaefer's 2.4.

Wyatt Johnston has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.1, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.59, 20+ mph bursts 269.

Johnston's biggest edges: Expected goals 53.0%, Sequence xG 53.1%, Blocked shots 55.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Wyatt Johnston

2.41

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchaeferJohnston
Goals (+2)0.531.03
Assists (+1)0.410.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.24
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.26
Hits (+0.1)0.050.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.670.35

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schaefer vs Johnston

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchaeferJohnston
2Team record in 2 meetings0
2Points in those games0

Schaefer 0G 2A, 4 SOG · Johnston 0G 0A, 3 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Schaefer's side)

19:18 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Schaefer's side

Shot attempts
15–19
44.1%
Expected goals
1.0–1.0
49.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Matthew Schaefer and Wyatt Johnston
DateScoreSchaeferJohnston
2026-03-26NYI 2–1 DAL0G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-18NYI 3–2 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchaeferJohnston

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

Wyatt Johnston

2games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Matthew Schaefer or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02. Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matthew Schaefer or Wyatt Johnston?
On 2025-26 numbers, Wyatt Johnston leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schaefer and Johnston done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Schaefer's team went 2–0. Schaefer had 2 points (0 goals) and Johnston had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →