Who to start · 2025-26
Mattias Ekholm vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Ekholm projects to 1.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Ekholm has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.
Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ekholm's biggest edges: Plus/minus +32, Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 58.3%.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Luck Meter +28, Goals above expected −1.3, On-ice PDO 1006.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mattias Ekholm
1.43
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mattias Ekholm has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ekholm | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.13 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.67 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ekholm vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ekholm 1G 11A, 37 SOG · Toffoli 2G 10A, 60 SOG
Ekholm blocked 3 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Ekholm's.
On the ice against each other (Ekholm's side)
9:05 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Ekholm's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–3
- 75.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.1
- 82.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ekholm | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | EDM 5–2 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-17 | EDM 5–3 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-28 | EDM 4–5 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-29 | EDM 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-11 | EDM 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-21 | EDM 3–2 SJS | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-26 | EDM 4–3 WPG | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-21 | EDM 6–3 NJD | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-10 | EDM 4–1 NJD | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-16 | NSH 2–1 CGY | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2022-11-03 | NSH 4–1 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2022-04-26 | NSH 4–5 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mattias Ekholm
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mattias Ekholm or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Ekholm projects to 1.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mattias Ekholm or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ekholm and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Ekholm's team went 19–4. Ekholm had 12 points (1 goals) and Toffoli had 12 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →