Who to start · 2025-26
Mattias Ekholm vs Will Smith
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.
Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.
This week Ekholm has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Smith for 1.9 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.
Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ekholm's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.3%, Blocked shots 125, Faceoffs won 0.
Smith's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.0, Ascension score 64, On-ice PDO 1033.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mattias Ekholm
1.43
fantasy points per game
Will Smith
1.94
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Will Smith has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ekholm | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.13 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.67 | 0.08 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ekholm vs Smith
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ekholm 1G 4A, 9 SOG · Smith 1G 3A, 11 SOG
On the ice against each other (Ekholm's side)
22:30 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Ekholm's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–20
- 44.4%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.8
- 60.0%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ekholm | Smith |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | EDM 5–2 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-03-17 | EDM 5–3 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-02-28 | EDM 4–5 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-01-29 | EDM 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-11 | EDM 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-21 | EDM 3–2 SJS | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mattias Ekholm
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Will Smith
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mattias Ekholm or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mattias Ekholm or Will Smith?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ekholm and Smith done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Ekholm's team went 5–1. Ekholm had 5 points (1 goals) and Smith had 4 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →

