Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mika Zibanejad vs Noah Cates

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mika Zibanejad projects to 2.27 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Zibanejad had 78 points in 81 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Zibanejad has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Cates has 1 left. We project Zibanejad for 1.5 ESPN points to Cates's 1.0.

Mika Zibanejad has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Zibanejad's biggest edges: Hardest shot 96.4, 20+ mph bursts 124, Faceoff win % 52.5%.

Cates's biggest edges: Plus/minus +26, Penalty minutes 44, Expected goals 53.9%.

Head to head on the dot, Zibanejad leads Cates 19–5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mika Zibanejad

2.27

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mika Zibanejad has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromZibanejadCates
Goals (+2)0.810.39
Assists (+1)0.510.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.16
Hits (+0.1)0.140.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.340.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Zibanejad vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ZibanejadCates
11Team record in 16 meetings5
22Points in those games5

Zibanejad 11G 11A, 45 SOG · Cates 1G 4A, 25 SOG

19Faceoffs against each other5

Zibanejad's offensive zone 5–2 · neutral 9–1 · Zibanejad's defensive zone 5–2 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Zibanejad blocked 1 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 1 of Zibanejad's.

On the ice against each other (Zibanejad's side)

11:16 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Zibanejad's side

Shot attempts
9–7
56.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
53.3%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Mika Zibanejad and Noah Cates
DateScoreZibanejadCates
2026-03-09NYR 6–2 PHI2G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-02-26NYR 2–3 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 5S
2026-01-17NYR 6–3 PHI3G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-20NYR 5–4 PHI1G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-09NYR 5–8 PHI0G 4A 3S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-23NYR 6–1 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-29NYR 1–3 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-11NYR 1–4 PHI0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-26NYR 6–5 PHI1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-24NYR 2–1 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-24NYR 3–1 PHI2G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-01NYR 3–2 PHI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ZibanejadCates

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mika Zibanejad

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.2 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Mika Zibanejad or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mika Zibanejad projects to 2.27 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Zibanejad had 78 points in 81 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mika Zibanejad or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mika Zibanejad leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Zibanejad and Cates done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Zibanejad's team went 11–5. Zibanejad had 22 points (11 goals) and Cates had 5 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Zibanejad or Cates?
Against each other, Zibanejad has won 19 and Cates 5 of their 24 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →