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Who to start · 2025-26

Mikhail Sergachev vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Sergachev has 2 games left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Sergachev for 4.2 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.4.

Mikhail Sergachev has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.8, Faceoffs won 0, 20+ mph bursts 87.

Toffoli's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1006, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Transition attempts /60 1.64.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikhail Sergachev

2.15

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSergachevToffoli
Goals (+2)0.240.45
Assists (+1)0.650.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.21
Hits (+0.1)0.060.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.810.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sergachev vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SergachevToffoli
13Team record in 19 meetings6
7Points in those games12

Sergachev 1G 6A, 35 SOG · Toffoli 7G 5A, 59 SOG

2Hits on each other3
1Shots blocked by the other1

Sergachev blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 1 of Sergachev's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Sergachev's side)

14:07 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Sergachev's side

Shot attempts
15–10
60.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.5
57.6%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Mikhail Sergachev and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreSergachevToffoli
2025-12-01UTA 3–6 SJS0G 1A 5S2G 2A 5S
2025-11-18UTA 2–3 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-17UTA 6–3 SJS0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-01-10UTA 2–1 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-14UTA 4–3 SJS0G 2A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-28UTA 4–5 SJS1G 0A 4S1G 1A 8S
2023-01-21TBL 3–6 CGY0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2022-11-17TBL 4–1 CGY0G 2A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-10TBL 1–4 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2021-07-07 · POTBL 1–0 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-07-05 · POTBL 2–3 MTL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-07-02 · POTBL 6–3 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SergachevToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

4.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ2.1 pts
    Schedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.1 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Mikhail Sergachev or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikhail Sergachev or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikhail Sergachev leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sergachev and Toffoli done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Sergachev's team went 13–6. Sergachev had 7 points (1 goals) and Toffoli had 12 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →