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Who to start · 2025-26

Mikko Rantanen vs Noah Dobson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17.

Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.

This week Rantanen has 1 game left; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Rantanen's biggest edges: High-danger chances 51.3%, Sequence xG 54.3%, Expected goals 54.4%.

Dobson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.03, Goals above expected +1.4, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRantanenDobson
Goals (+2)0.640.28
Assists (+1)0.810.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.250.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.19
Hits (+0.1)0.080.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.221.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rantanen vs Dobson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RantanenDobson
6Team record in 10 meetings4
11Points in those games6

Rantanen 2G 9A, 36 SOG · Dobson 1G 5A, 27 SOG

1Hits on each other2
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Rantanen's side)

11:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rantanen's side

Shot attempts
16–7
69.6%
Expected goals
1.1–0.2
82.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Mikko Rantanen and Noah Dobson
DateScoreRantanenDobson
2026-01-04DAL 3–4 MTL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-13DAL 7–0 MTL0G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-14COL 2–6 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-02COL 5–4 NYI0G 2A 4S0G 1A 1S
2023-10-24COL 7–4 NYI1G 3A 5S0G 2A 1S
2022-12-19COL 1–0 NYI0G 0A 10S0G 0A 4S
2022-10-29COL 4–5 NYI1G 1A 2S1G 0A 5S
2022-03-07COL 5–4 NYI0G 0A 5S0G 2A 5S
2022-03-01COL 5–3 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2020-01-06COL 0–1 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RantanenDobson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Noah Dobson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rantanen and Dobson done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 6–4. Rantanen had 11 points (2 goals) and Dobson had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →