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Who to start · 2025-26

Mikko Rantanen vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Mikko RantanenMikko RantanenStars · Right wingvsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Rantanen has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Rantanen's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1046, Penalty minutes 93, Luck Meter +27.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Corsi 49.4%.

Head to head on the dot, Nugent-Hopkins leads Rantanen 6–5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikko Rantanen

2.34

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRantanenNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.690.56
Assists (+1)0.860.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.270.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.18
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rantanen vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RantanenNugent-Hopkins
12Team record in 23 meetings11
25Points in those games20

Rantanen 10G 15A, 70 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 7G 13A, 56 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other6

Rantanen's offensive zone 4–2 · neutral 1–2 · Rantanen's defensive zone 0–2 (2021-22 to 2024-25)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Rantanen's side)

1:37 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Rantanen's side

Shot attempts
6–1
85.7%
Expected goals
0.7–0.2
81.3%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Mikko Rantanen and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreRantanenNugent-Hopkins
2025-11-04DAL 4–3 EDM2G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-05-29 · PODAL 3–6 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-27 · PODAL 1–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 4S
2025-05-25 · PODAL 1–6 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 3A 4S
2025-05-23 · PODAL 0–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S
2025-05-21 · PODAL 6–3 EDM0G 1A 3S1G 1A 4S
2025-03-26DAL 4–3 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-08DAL 4–5 EDM1G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-01CAR 1–3 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-16COL 3–4 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-30COL 1–4 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2024-04-05COL 2–6 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RantanenNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.4 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rantanen and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 12–11. Rantanen had 25 points (10 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 20 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Rantanen or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Rantanen has won 5 and Nugent-Hopkins 6 of their 11 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →