Who to start · 2025-26
Mikko Rantanen vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Rantanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Rantanen's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 93, Ascension score 54, Top skating speed 22.8.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mikko Rantanen
2.21
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rantanen | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.64 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.81 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rantanen vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rantanen 14G 24A, 70 SOG · Toffoli 13G 7A, 70 SOG
Rantanen blocked 2 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Rantanen's.
On the ice against each other (Rantanen's side)
16:55 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Rantanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–21
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.8
- 36.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rantanen | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | DAL 4–5 SJS | 1G 1A 3S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2025-12-18 | DAL 5–3 SJS | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-05 | DAL 4–1 SJS | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-19 | COL 4–2 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-20 | COL 4–1 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | COL 6–3 WPG | 2G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | COL 5–1 WPG | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | COL 6–2 WPG | 0G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-23 · PO | COL 5–2 WPG | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-21 · PO | COL 6–7 WPG | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-13 | COL 0–7 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-11-07 | COL 6–3 NJD | 2G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mikko Rantanen
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rantanen and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 17–10. Rantanen had 38 points (14 goals) and Toffoli had 20 (13 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →