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Who to start · 2025-26

Morgan Geekie vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Geekie projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Geekie had 68 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Geekie has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Geekie for 1.7 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.3.

Morgan Geekie has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Geekie's biggest edges: Ascension score 63, Goals above expected +6.4, Hits 110.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Transition attempts /60 1.64.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Morgan Geekie

1.90

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Morgan Geekie has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGeekieToffoli
Goals (+2)0.850.45
Assists (+1)0.370.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.21
Hits (+0.1)0.160.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Geekie vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GeekieToffoli
4Team record in 12 meetings8
5Points in those games11

Geekie 3G 2A, 18 SOG · Toffoli 5G 6A, 26 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Geekie's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Geekie's defensive zone 0–1 (2023-24)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Geekie's side)

7:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Geekie's side

Shot attempts
8–6
57.1%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
66.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Morgan Geekie and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreGeekieToffoli
2026-03-12BOS 2–4 SJS0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2025-11-23BOS 1–3 SJS1G 0A 6S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-22BOS 1–3 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-01-15BOS 3–0 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-30BOS 5–2 NJD0G 1A 1S0G 2A 1S
2023-12-13BOS 1–2 NJD1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-27SEA 2–5 CGY0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2022-12-28SEA 2–3 CGY0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2022-11-01SEA 5–4 CGY1G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2022-04-12SEA 3–5 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-09SEA 1–4 CGY0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2021-10-26SEA 5–1 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GeekieToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Morgan Geekie

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.3 pts

FAQ

Should I start Morgan Geekie or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Geekie projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Geekie had 68 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Morgan Geekie or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Geekie leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Geekie and Toffoli done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Geekie's team went 4–8. Geekie had 5 points (3 goals) and Toffoli had 11 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Geekie or Toffoli?
Against each other, Geekie has won 0 and Toffoli 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →