Who to start · 2025-26
Moritz Seider vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Moritz Seider projects to 2.46 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Seider had 60 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Seider has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Seider for 2.7 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Moritz Seider has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Seider's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Penalty minutes 57, Plus/minus +15.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 53.7%, On-ice PDO 1006, Offensive-zone time 45.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Moritz Seider
2.46
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Moritz Seider has the edge.
| Points per game from | Seider | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.23 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.12 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Seider vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Seider 2G 4A, 28 SOG · Toffoli 4G 6A, 28 SOG
Seider blocked 3 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Seider's.
On the ice against each other (Seider's side)
11:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Seider's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–10
- 47.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 39.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Seider | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | DET 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-02 | DET 3–2 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-14 | DET 3–6 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2024-11-18 | DET 4–5 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-23 | DET 2–3 NJD | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-22 | DET 4–0 NJD | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-12 | DET 3–4 NJD | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-02-16 | DET 5–2 CGY | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-02-09 | DET 2–1 CGY | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-12 | DET 0–3 CGY | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2021-11-13 | DET 3–2 MTL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-11-02 | DET 0–3 MTL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 2A 2S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Moritz Seider
2games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.7 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Moritz Seider or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Moritz Seider projects to 2.46 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Seider had 60 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Moritz Seider or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Moritz Seider leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Seider and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Seider's team went 6–7. Seider had 6 points (2 goals) and Toffoli had 10 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →