Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nick Suzuki vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Suzuki had 101 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Suzuki has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Suzuki for 1.7 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Nick Suzuki has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Suzuki's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.6, Plus/minus +37, 20+ mph bursts 237.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Hardest shot 89.2, Transition attempts /60 1.64.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nick Suzuki

2.43

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nick Suzuki has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSuzukiToffoli
Goals (+2)0.660.45
Assists (+1)0.820.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.250.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.21
Hits (+0.1)0.080.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.390.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Suzuki vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SuzukiToffoli
7Team record in 12 meetings5
12Points in those games10

Suzuki 6G 6A, 29 SOG · Toffoli 5G 5A, 37 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Suzuki's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Suzuki's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23)

0Hits on each other1
5Goals set up by the other19

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Suzuki's side)

4:59 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Suzuki's side

Shot attempts
9–2
81.8%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
96.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Nick Suzuki and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreSuzukiToffoli
2026-03-14MTL 2–4 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-03MTL 5–7 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-27MTL 4–3 SJS2G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-04MTL 4–3 SJS0G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2024-02-24MTL 3–4 NJD2G 0A 4S0G 2A 1S
2024-01-17MTL 3–2 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-24MTL 2–5 NJD0G 0A 1S3G 0A 6S
2022-12-12MTL 2–1 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2022-12-01MTL 2–1 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 0A 7S
2022-03-03MTL 5–4 CGY1G 2A 6S0G 1A 3S
2020-02-25MTL 3–4 VAN0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2019-11-09MTL 3–2 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SuzukiToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nick Suzuki

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.7 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Cvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Nick Suzuki or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Suzuki had 101 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nick Suzuki or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Suzuki leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Suzuki and Toffoli done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Suzuki's team went 7–5. Suzuki had 12 points (6 goals) and Toffoli had 10 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Suzuki or Toffoli?
Against each other, Suzuki has won 1 and Toffoli 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →