Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nico Hischier vs Noah Cates

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nico Hischier projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Hischier had 66 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Hischier has 1 game left; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hischier for 1.9 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.

Nico Hischier has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Hischier's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.070, Faceoff win % 55.8%, Hardest shot 89.4.

Cates's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1026, Plus/minus +26, Luck Meter +14.

Head to head on the dot, Hischier leads Cates 32–13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nico Hischier

1.93

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nico Hischier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHischierCates
Goals (+2)0.640.39
Assists (+1)0.430.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.16
Hits (+0.1)0.080.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.390.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hischier vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HischierCates
5Team record in 11 meetings6
9Points in those games8

Hischier 5G 4A, 30 SOG · Cates 1G 7A, 19 SOG

32Faceoffs against each other13

Hischier's offensive zone 14–4 · neutral 7–8 · Hischier's defensive zone 11–1 (2022-23 to 2026-27)

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Hischier blocked 0 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 1 of Hischier's.

On the ice against each other (Hischier's side)

12:41 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Hischier's side

Shot attempts
17–3
85.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.1
80.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Nico Hischier and Noah Cates
DateScoreHischierCates
2026-10-01NJD 3–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-07NJD 1–5 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-29NJD 3–5 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-22NJD 3–6 PHI2G 1A 5S1G 2A 4S
2025-03-09NJD 3–1 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-18NJD 1–3 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2024-04-13NJD 0–1 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-17NJD 6–3 PHI2G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-25NJD 7–0 PHI1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-15NJD 1–2 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 2A 2S
2022-12-03NJD 3–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HischierCates

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nico Hischier

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to Cvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Nico Hischier or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nico Hischier projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Hischier had 66 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nico Hischier or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nico Hischier leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hischier and Cates done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Hischier's team went 5–6. Hischier had 9 points (5 goals) and Cates had 8 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Hischier or Cates?
Against each other, Hischier has won 32 and Cates 13 of their 45 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →