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Who to start · 2025-26

Noah Cates vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Cates had 47 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Cates has 1 game left; Meier has 1 left. We project Meier for 2.0 ESPN points to Cates's 1.0.

Timo Meier has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Cates's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, Plus/minus +26, On-ice PDO 1026.

Meier's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.3, Transition attempts /60 2.14, Corsi 54.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Timo Meier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCatesMeier
Goals (+2)0.390.58
Assists (+1)0.310.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.35
Hits (+0.1)0.110.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.300.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Cates vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CatesMeier
7Team record in 12 meetings5
5Points in those games7

Cates 1G 4A, 19 SOG · Meier 3G 4A, 42 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

Cates's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Cates's defensive zone 0–1 (2025-26 to 2026-27)

0Hits on each other4

On the ice against each other (Cates's side)

14:14 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Cates's side

Shot attempts
6–20
23.1%
Expected goals
0.3–0.7
26.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Noah Cates and Timo Meier
DateScoreCatesMeier
2026-10-01PHI 2–3 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2026-04-07PHI 5–1 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-29PHI 5–3 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2025-11-22PHI 6–3 NJD1G 2A 4S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-09PHI 1–3 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-29PHI 0–5 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2025-01-27PHI 4–2 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-01-18PHI 3–1 NJD0G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-13PHI 1–0 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-17PHI 3–6 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-12-29PHI 4–3 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 1A 6S
2022-10-23PHI 0–3 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CatesMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Noah Cates or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Cates had 47 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Noah Cates or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Timo Meier leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Cates and Meier done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Cates's team went 7–5. Cates had 5 points (1 goals) and Meier had 7 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Cates or Meier?
Against each other, Cates has won 0 and Meier 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →