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Who to start · 2025-26

Noah Dobson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Noah DobsonNoah DobsonCanadiens · DefencevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Dobson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Dobson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1014, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.03, Blocked shots 188.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.8%, Offensive-zone time 46.0%, Power-play share 86.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Noah Dobson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDobsonNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.300.56
Assists (+1)0.440.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.18
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.180.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dobson vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DobsonNugent-Hopkins
3Team record in 10 meetings7
3Points in those games5

Dobson 0G 3A, 17 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 1G 4A, 17 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other1

Dobson blocked 1 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Dobson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Dobson's side)

14:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dobson's side

Shot attempts
12–19
38.7%
Expected goals
0.7–0.5
56.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Noah Dobson and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreDobsonNugent-Hopkins
2025-12-14MTL 4–1 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-23MTL 5–6 EDM0G 1A 0S1G 1A 1S
2025-03-14NYI 1–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-12NYI 3–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-19NYI 3–1 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-13NYI 1–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-05NYI 2–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2022-11-23NYI 3–0 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-11NYI 1–3 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2019-10-08NYI 2–5 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DobsonNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Noah Dobson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Noah Dobson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dobson and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Dobson's team went 3–7. Dobson had 3 points (0 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 5 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →