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Who to start · 2025-26

Noah Dobson vs Trevor Zegras

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Dobson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zegras has 1 left. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Trevor Zegras has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dobson's biggest edges: Ascension score 50, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.03, Blocked shots 188.

Zegras's biggest edges: High-danger chances 56.6%, Sequence xG 55.0%, Scoring chances 51.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDobsonZegras
Goals (+2)0.280.57
Assists (+1)0.410.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.19
Hits (+0.1)0.070.05
Blocks (+0.5)1.160.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dobson vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DobsonZegras
4Team record in 8 meetings4
5Points in those games6

Dobson 2G 3A, 19 SOG · Zegras 1G 5A, 18 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Dobson blocked 1 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 1 of Dobson's.

On the ice against each other (Dobson's side)

17:07 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dobson's side

Shot attempts
14–15
48.3%
Expected goals
0.9–0.9
50.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Noah Dobson and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreDobsonZegras
2025-12-16MTL 1–4 PHI0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2025-11-04MTL 4–5 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 2A 5S
2025-03-09NYI 1–4 ANA0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2024-10-29NYI 1–3 ANA0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-15NYI 6–3 ANA0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-10-15NYI 7–1 ANA1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-13NYI 4–3 ANA0G 0A 4S0G 1A 5S
2022-02-27NYI 4–0 ANA1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DobsonZegras

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Noah Dobson or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Noah Dobson or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dobson and Zegras done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Dobson's team went 4–4. Dobson had 5 points (2 goals) and Zegras had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →