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Who to start · 2025-26

Noah Dobson vs Tyler Toffoli

Noah DobsonNoah DobsonCanadiens · DefencevsTyler ToffoliTyler ToffoliSharks · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Dobson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Noah Dobson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dobson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Top skating speed 22.5, 20+ mph bursts 65.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Scoring chances 48.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDobsonToffoli
Goals (+2)0.280.45
Assists (+1)0.410.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.21
Hits (+0.1)0.070.06
Blocks (+0.5)1.160.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dobson vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DobsonToffoli
5Team record in 12 meetings7
9Points in those games7

Dobson 1G 8A, 24 SOG · Toffoli 3G 4A, 31 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Dobson blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 1 of Dobson's.

On the ice against each other (Dobson's side)

4:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dobson's side

Shot attempts
6–0
100.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Noah Dobson and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreDobsonToffoli
2026-03-14MTL 2–4 SJS0G 2A 1S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-03MTL 5–7 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-08NYI 4–2 SJS0G 2A 2S0G 0A 7S
2024-03-23NYI 6–3 WPG0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-28NYI 4–5 NJD0G 2A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-10-20NYI 4–5 NJD0G 1A 3S1G 0A 5S
2023-01-06NYI 1–4 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-07NYI 4–3 CGY1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2021-11-04NYI 6–2 MTL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2020-03-10NYI 4–5 VAN0G 1A 1S1G 1A 3S
2020-02-06NYI 5–3 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2019-11-27NYI 1–4 LAK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DobsonToffoli

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Noah Dobson or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Noah Dobson or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Dobson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dobson and Toffoli done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Dobson's team went 5–7. Dobson had 9 points (1 goals) and Toffoli had 7 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →