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Who to start · 2025-26

Noah Dobson vs Will Smith

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94.

Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.

This week Dobson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Smith for 1.9 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.

Will Smith has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dobson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 188, Faceoffs won 0, Hits 62.

Smith's biggest edges: Scoring chances 50.4%, Ascension score 64, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.039.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Will Smith

1.94

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDobsonSmith
Goals (+2)0.280.90
Assists (+1)0.410.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.24
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.160.08

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dobson vs Smith

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DobsonSmith
2Team record in 4 meetings2
5Points in those games3

Dobson 1G 4A, 8 SOG · Smith 2G 1A, 4 SOG

On the ice against each other (Dobson's side)

14:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dobson's side

Shot attempts
9–14
39.1%
Expected goals
0.4–1.5
20.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Noah Dobson and Will Smith
DateScoreDobsonSmith
2026-03-14MTL 2–4 SJS0G 2A 1S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-03MTL 5–7 SJS0G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2025-03-08NYI 4–2 SJS0G 2A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-01-18NYI 4–1 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DobsonSmith

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Will Smith

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.4 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Noah Dobson or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94. Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Noah Dobson or Will Smith?
On 2025-26 numbers, Will Smith leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dobson and Smith done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Dobson's team went 2–2. Dobson had 5 points (1 goals) and Smith had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →